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Bay Area Regional Housing Need Determination
Posted on 07/07/2020

Regional Housing Need Determination

On June 9, 2020, the California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) issued the Bay Area a housing need of 441,176 units as part of the Regional Housing Needs Allocation (RHNA) process for the next Housing Element cycle (2023 to 2031).  The Regional Housing Needs Determination is a finding made every 8 years by  HCD that identifies specific housing needs across California. The number for the Bay Area is approximately twice the determination that the Bay Area received in the current Housing Element cycle, which reflects changes to state law and growth over the past 8 years.  

The Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) is responsible for developing a methodology to allocate to each City and County a portion of the Bay Area’s 441,176 total housing need received from HCD. ABAG has convened a Housing Methodology Committee (HMC) which continues to refine the methodology factors. The most recent HMC comprehensive update in April 2020 (attached) summarizes several options under consideration for determining a jurisdiction’s total allocation based on factors such as jobs-housing fit, transit proximity, etc. Compared to ABAG’s 5th Cycle RHNA methodology and Plan Bay Area 2040, the options would direct more housing growth to jurisdictions in the Bayside and Unincorporated areas, less household growth to the Big Three cities, and similar amounts of housing growth to jurisdictions in the Inland, Delta, and Coastal area (Includes San Ramon). At the June 19, 2020 HMC meeting, the agenda included a discussion on how to determine the income distribution of units. Staff will continue to monitor the RHNA methodology process by ABAG and provide updates to the City Council in anticipation of preparation of an updated Housing Element which will incorporate the new RHNA allocation for the next Housing Element cycle (2023 to 2031).